TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Switzerland win the 2024 Euros?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d66…6f5bbacked Yes1c58,642$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes2c15,646$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.968230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x609e…0996backed Yes7c14,922$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…c024backed Yes2c12,324$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes2c8,578$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.291910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Yes6c7,721$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes3c5,975$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1665923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbf…a4bbbacked Yes2c5,761$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.95520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes2c5,662$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.032213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9840…5a69backed Yes7c5,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…be8cbacked Yes6c4,927$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d1…21d8backed Yes6c4,920$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes1c3,960$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes4c3,622$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.326026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes4c3,336$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.088734.5%30 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes4c3,045$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.486636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes6c3,000$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.35837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90db…fc55backed Yes2c2,841$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.132015%3 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865e…3013backed Yes2c2,581$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes7c2,517$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.553941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c2,333$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7515328.8%44 W · 109 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3826…84efbacked Yes4c2,133$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…83c1backed Yes2c2,086$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes7c2,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010e…aef7backed Yes7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99f…8742backed Yes1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x947e…4cedbacked Yes6c1,800$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes2c1,702$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.662524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf230…c9c1backed Yes6c1,690$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…6e32backed Yes6c1,675$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f2…b488backed Yes2c1,600$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.832611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes3c1,600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes6c1,556$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.055712.3%7 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…2759backed Yes7c1,500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.51526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d0…be18backed Yes6c1,500$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9a…755abacked Yes4c1,417$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a0…d1f0backed Yes7c1,363$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd757…2207backed Yes2c1,250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes2c1,230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…d133backed Yes7c1,047$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x340a…1f9ebacked Yes4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7b…2ad8backed Yes6c892.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes2c878.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6096…4810backed Yes6c863.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+96.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes2c834.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef91…5ff3backed Yes3c798.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked Yes3c790.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282e…00f3backed Yes6c769.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a4…7b72backed Yes3c769.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…3e3fbacked Yes3c769.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes4c750$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62c…3b44backed Yes1c740.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e52…9750backed Yes7c726.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d90…85aabacked Yes6c660.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…678cbacked Yes3c650$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+62.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b56…5fdfbacked Yes2c596.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3051…f50cbacked Yes8c569.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4104…c5f6backed Yes6c555$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…ea4bbacked Yes6c544.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.01425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c83…e831backed Yes6c503.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…91adbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…22cebacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec9…5ff5backed Yes7c433.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733e…ae66backed Yes6c413.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf25…0c07backed Yes6c403.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4982…ee63backed Yes6c381.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…0aebbacked Yes6c360.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb7…f16dbacked Yes6c357.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc729…5faabacked Yes6c357.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…f368backed Yes6c350$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf8…6598backed Yes6c345.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82af…e212backed Yes6c341.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc876…cedfbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8621…b0c5backed Yes6c321.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…7c86backed Yes13c287.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cab…b256backed Yes7c286.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c6…e137backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388a…8084backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae34…5be7backed Yes6c244.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57fb…e413backed Yes7c240$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ae…a21bbacked Yes6c210$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8177…edc7backed Yes6c205.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…065abacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bc…affcbacked Yes6c160$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff9f…3b8abacked Yes9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.