Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcba2e32403fa723b7b0057ebf6c7b23ee90207989b77251c7d25e0cff2c1176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 2,377$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.41 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 58c | 2,337$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.12 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 1,568$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 924.02$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 40c | 739.53$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 575.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 475.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 29c | 423.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 15c | 394.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Over | 20c | 371.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 31c | 291.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 46c | 279.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 251.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 22c | 230.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 61c | 157$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 21c | 119.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 20c | 112.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…959fbacked Over | 20c | 107.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed Over | 28c | 107.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 106.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 20c | 83.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 62c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked Under | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 56cpaid | -74%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 25c | 49.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 62c | 45.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 78c | 33.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 28.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 80c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 80c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…24ffbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.