Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae79026051eabadc6bf5ed01694b50ef076770a77494c4ed8647a085ad2f763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pohang Steelers FCof Pohang Steelers FC, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 4,126$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.05 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Pohang Steelers FC | 31c | 2,440$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.71 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Pohang Steelers FC | 31c | 1,104$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.66 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Pohang Steelers FC | 29c | 683.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.3 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pohang Steelers FC | 39c | 604.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.73 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 518.25$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.41 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Gwangju FC | 61c | 432.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 279.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 221.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gwangju FC | 35c | 197.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gwangju FC | 70c | 184.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Gwangju FC | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 163.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 127.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pohang Steelers FC | 30c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 108.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Pohang Steelers FC | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 79.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 77.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gwangju FC | 70c | 77.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cc…ad18backed Pohang Steelers FC | 33c | 54.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Pohang Steelers FC | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Pohang Steelers FC | 30c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Gwangju FC | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Gwangju FC | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 40.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Gwangju FC | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 36.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pohang Steelers FC | 32c | 32.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 31.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Gwangju FC | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 14.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.