Asian League · resolved market

Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4679399b746fa46edf6852c6eb218419e4e25a2cccabb013ade42ef982c84e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $54,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under	4c	10,867$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.92	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+9.3wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	32c	8,623$2,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,741.61	193	40.9%79 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	63c	6,333$4,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,330.41	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	40c	2,597$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.57	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	59c	2,369$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.01	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	20.4%11 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	1,917$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.91	828	42.4%351 W · 477 L	+19.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over	41c	1,463$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+65.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over	39c	1,073$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.29	177	57.6%102 W · 75 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	60c	1,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	122	50%61 W · 61 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Over	42c	955.44$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.44	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	38c	585.4$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.92	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	39c	536.87$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.07	207	69.6%144 W · 63 L	+31.9wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	40c	515.17$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.05	1,443	35.3%509 W · 934 L	-36.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	41c	514.17$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.36	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f39…f8f2backed Under	61c	493.1$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	40c	475.1$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.06	892	45%401 W · 491 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	34c	456.27$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.14	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	59c	420.2$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.31	1,725	50.6%873 W · 852 L	+28.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd2…9a46backed Over	41c	410$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.9	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	39c	397.44$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	211	44.5%94 W · 117 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	40c	371.85$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.79	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Under	44c	340.91$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over	44c	316.97$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.21	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	41c	303.84$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.23	348	47.4%165 W · 183 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	45c	268.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.26	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under	41c	259$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.76	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	234.59$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.24	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under	45c	208.87$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.78	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under	45c	196.39$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.18	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	65c	170.85$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under	41c	164$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.81	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over	42c	140.12$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.27	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	39cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	58c	139.47$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.89	1,110	49.5%549 W · 561 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over	67c	127.09$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.51	123	62.6%77 W · 46 L	+17.0wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over	44c	122.63$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.07	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	57c	121.33$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.17	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under	58c	117.36$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.07	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	59c	105.51$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.25	1,221	50.2%613 W · 608 L	+12.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	39c	100.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.59	539	46.9%253 W · 286 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.67	405	50.6%205 W · 200 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.37per pick	48cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	60c	98.05$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under	41c	87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Under	56c	86.34$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.35	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	41c	84.37$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under	53c	84.15$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under	42c	74.48$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over	39c	70$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.7	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	35c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc59c…6b58backed Over	41c	68.29$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Over	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+83.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	59c	52.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	64	67.2%43 W · 21 L	+6.8wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	55c	50.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Under	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under	59c	50.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	375	59.2%222 W · 153 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	45c	44.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.42	770	56.2%433 W · 337 L	+40.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	39c	42.3$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	375	62.7%235 W · 140 L	+61.4wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under	41c	40.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	40c	40.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.04	147	44.9%66 W · 81 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	65c	38.98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	693	52.2%362 W · 331 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	38c	36.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	186	46.2%86 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d66…79cabacked Under	62c	36.84$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.84	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-4.2wins	-0.38per pick	56cpaid	-74%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under	54c	34.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bd…8c04backed Over	42c	30.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	40c	29.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	56c	27.03$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	564	45.4%256 W · 308 L	-25.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over	40c	26.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Over	60c	26.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over	42c	26.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4548…e4b5backed Over	41c	26.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over	41c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.25	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over	41c	25.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under	63c	24.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over	59c	20.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5this page
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Pohang Steelers FC O/U 1.5Over won
Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)Pohang Steelers FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event