Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ed270839e5d97b8873fff01d9fb8f73fdb42d845a7e3df2ff101e55fcca645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 61c | 14,198$8,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 39c | 13,010$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed Yes | 60c | 9,549$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 4,734$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.14 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 4,488$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 4,129$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 77c | 2,590$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,424$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 1,871$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 1,835$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 1,606$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 1,474$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 22c | 1,311$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 1,048$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.9 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 80c | 1,013$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 71c | 966.2$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 33c | 954.59$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.27 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 858.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 766.48$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.26 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 39c | 650.5$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 59c | 542.37$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 5c | 526.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 436.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 435$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 300.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 20c | 251.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 14c | 247.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 80c | 238.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 234.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 61c | 189.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 40c | 143.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 39c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Yes | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 39c | 104.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 73c | 101.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 98.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 23c | 94.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Yes | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked No | 41c | 84.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 59c | 82.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Yes | 59c | 81.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 41c | 73.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Yes | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 23c | 65.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…0848backed Yes | 62c | 63.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 56.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 59c | 52.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…34d2backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed No | 39c | 39.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 67c | 37.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…87eebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 60c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 27.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 25.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 77c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 62c | 19.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 62c | 19.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 78c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 74c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.