Olympics · resolved market
Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb94994fa71e8382c8ea9526fe0162dd8edfe3506070bb29095848ff8b0c5d27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa7f…8a58backed No | 10c | 1,708$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 4c | 1,700$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed No | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed Yes | 13c | 790.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 13c | 463.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.91 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 13c | 341.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 29c | 308.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 12c | 233.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 12c | 206$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +89%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 188.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 150.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…8206backed Yes | 32c | 149.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…0ac4backed Yes | 26c | 135.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…3e0bbacked Yes | 14c | 122.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c626backed Yes | 20c | 105.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 14c | 101.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 78c | 70.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antionette Rijpma-De Jong (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Brittany Bowe (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Femke Kok (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Marijke Groenewoud (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Miho Takagi (JPN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.