TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$754,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$711,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $754,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c110,564$9,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,556.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes16c104,513$16,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,763.0312210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes11c37,228$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.518521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes7c26,372$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.0530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes8c25,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes10c24,118$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes11c19,031$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.1312810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes8c17,603$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.241567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes8c14,643$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.466526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c13,182$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.5656410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes15c5,408$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.4635719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Yes10c5,365$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1220532.2%66 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c4,575$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3666729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36c…e7babacked Yes8c4,245$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes9c3,375$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Yes18c3,252$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes8c3,250$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes3c3,094$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes3c3,066$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3851429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes7c2,976$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3340515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes14c2,930$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.591,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes17c2,789$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.896235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes8c2,611$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.779017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes8c2,450$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Yes8c2,375$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes15c2,210$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.052187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…dcb2backed Yes8c2,078$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.25520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes7c1,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9634231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd777…26b8backed Yes8c1,388$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112010%2 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4962…f509backed Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes16c1,314$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2419737.6%74 W · 123 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9afe…7b07backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100488.3%4 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf27…8f82backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes16c1,217$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes8c1,205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3712923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes8c1,205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.37378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Yes8c1,188$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0546…3cb0backed Yes3c1,180$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes8c1,059$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8528425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c1,029$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16038526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+264.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58a…eac4backed Yes7c947$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2916031.3%50 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aec…3e26backed Yes8c893.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes7c888$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.169727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef7…e891backed Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705510.9%6 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes18c845.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes8c820$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.635110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes16c780.06$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8151032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c719.86$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5956022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes8c718.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.515026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed No71c688$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.528041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes14c652.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d0…5450backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502832.1%9 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3125…788abacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011540%46 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c9…7304backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508913.5%12 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507541.3%31 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013721.9%30 W · 107 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14b…ff54backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes8c604.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.358119.8%16 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…f6e9backed Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes12c562.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.