TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$665,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c99,375$12,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,697.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes14c70,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes15c53,333$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes15c36,747$5,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,512.0530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes15c30,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes14c21,429$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10012810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes14c13,874$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes15c13,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes13c7,811$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.4238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes14c7,150$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0012187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002524%6 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes12c5,605$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.652,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes14c4,723$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.325925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes14c4,557$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6386729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes1c4,303$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.617229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c3,749$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes12c3,709$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.321,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae1…6f10backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes11c3,288$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.712,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…abbebacked Yes14c3,214$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes15c3,085$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f51…2647backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207031.4%22 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08c…b6b7backed Yes14c1,986$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2783821.1%8 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes13c1,943$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.0935719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes12c1,782$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes15c1,700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc05d…bcafbacked Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Yes3c1,628$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.571375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c1,562$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes14c1,443$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes14c1,400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19625228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes14c1,384$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes14c1,368$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5367…cbbabacked Yes15c1,173$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766512.3%8 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes14c1,143$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes14c1,138$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.351,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes14c1,111$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa696…45cfbacked Yes15c1,067$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028425%71 W · 213 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Yes14c1,057$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1481833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…3a22backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes13c999.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes14c857.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes14c749.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c6…1462backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031119.3%60 W · 251 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e86…bb28backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100378.1%3 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-78.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62c9…7304backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008913.5%12 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b0…5ab1backed Yes14c689.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.54378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43d…c006backed Yes14c684.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.84650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+87.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012226.2%32 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7670…6522backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007142.3%30 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa86f…6ad4backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003122.6%7 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Yes11c611.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.727628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c3…322bbacked Yes14c586.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0620024.5%49 W · 151 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf951…6ab4backed Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes14c540$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…4ef8backed Yes15c533.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804922.4%11 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…42acbacked Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes13c499.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.57816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7114…337abacked Yes14c464.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653212.5%4 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes15c432.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8420814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606320.6%13 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58a…6b63backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011715.4%18 W · 99 L-0.5wins0.00per pick16cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc875…ff98backed Yes14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011515.7%18 W · 97 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes14c421.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes14c421.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9515026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Yes11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5238924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes14c389.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8745932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.