Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3388506cb74ecb6d26084bae49867065e2eb0511822529d1bb34d6ff92fd1759

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $358,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $322,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	6c	63,401$3,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	49,611$3,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,034.79	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	6c	18,988$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.28	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes	6c	16,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes	8c	12,411$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	7c	8,254$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.79	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes	6c	6,667$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	6c	5,584$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.03	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-48%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	6c	4,129$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.74	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes	6c	4,086$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.17	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+78.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes	5c	3,349$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.91	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…62e0backed Yes	6c	3,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	11.1%5 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes	6c	3,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	135	27.4%37 W · 98 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes	7c	2,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa425…a8bbbacked Yes	6c	2,679$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.71	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	6c	2,577$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.6	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes	7c	2,100$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes	6c	2,057$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.39	174	42%73 W · 101 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	115	5.2%6 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes	6c	1,680$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.79	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…9ff1backed Yes	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+134.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes	7c	1,543$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes	6c	1,530$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.8	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	239	29.7%71 W · 168 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes	6c	1,362$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.71	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes	6c	1,167$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	6c	1,133$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	11.9%19 W · 140 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	175	6.3%11 W · 164 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95bb…ebe2backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc53a…f1d0backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+107.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	311	29.6%92 W · 219 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	206	30.1%62 W · 144 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes	5c	790.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4f…8846backed Yes	6c	723.33$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	6c	717.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d69…1ccfbacked Yes	6c	633.33$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	84	22.6%19 W · 65 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes	7c	616.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.18	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes	5c	594$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+112.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	6c	573.81$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	2c	563.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes	7c	553.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	291	38.8%113 W · 178 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f7…2d61backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x877e…5f22backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae3…9534backed Yes	6c	406.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2761backed Yes	6c	398$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	7c	371.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	7c	357.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253b…43ddbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x074a…f8a3backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	130	19.2%25 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…778ebacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc503…5d32backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8327…577dbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…f4b1backed Yes	6c	321$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	89	6.7%6 W · 83 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccbb…3bedbacked Yes	6c	316.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	81	16%13 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x601e…5970backed Yes	6c	304.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+4.9wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes	5c	300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x586b…646cbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	65	3.1%2 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee5e…e5a7backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-6.4wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a06…290cbacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	287	16.4%47 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	6c	266$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ee…e85dbacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	20.9%40 W · 151 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9c32backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471e…42f0backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	81	19.8%16 W · 65 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3f…356bbacked Yes	6c	240.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	7c	234$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7670…6522backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	152	13.8%21 W · 131 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	159	23.3%37 W · 122 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…6d90backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec9…f819backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes	7c	185.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?No won
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Belgium?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event