CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37464aea56a03bc3e5b994673e1c28d2e454de08b017dd338cfa5301429f2c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickstersof maybe, Tricksters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdced…c799backed Tricksters | 70c | 3,060$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked maybe | 30c | 2,964$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.57 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed maybe | 53c | 1,667$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Tricksters | 59c | 1,450$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.99 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Tricksters | 59c | 978.36$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.91 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked maybe | 42c | 905.35$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.03 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed maybe | 39c | 870.16$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Tricksters | 44c | 836.37$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.57 | 437 | 51.7%226 W · 211 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Tricksters | 66c | 670.01$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.54 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…46a2backed maybe | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…01fbbacked maybe | 43c | 584.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Tricksters | 45c | 581.45$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Tricksters | 56c | 580.34$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed maybe | 31c | 573.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Tricksters | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked maybe | 38c | 370.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed maybe | 30c | 335$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed maybe | 34c | 287.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed maybe | 35c | 278$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Tricksters | 44c | 264.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.39 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked maybe | 49c | 205.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed maybe | 26c | 205.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked maybe | 6c | 204.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Tricksters | 57c | 201$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed maybe | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed maybe | 33c | 182.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked maybe | 54c | 181.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed maybe | 6c | 179.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Tricksters | 57c | 175.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Tricksters | 59c | 153.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked maybe | 52c | 134.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked maybe | 19c | 125.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked maybe | 25c | 123.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…6ceabacked maybe | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked maybe | 29c | 119.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed maybe | 13c | 115.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked maybe | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked maybe | 22c | 111$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed maybe | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed maybe | 14c | 86.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed maybe | 43c | 86.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked maybe | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked maybe | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed Tricksters | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked maybe | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Tricksters | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Tricksters | 73c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tricksters | 52c | 40.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…f252backed Tricksters | 56c | 35.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked maybe | 40c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed maybe | 34c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Tricksters | 70c | 27.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Tricksters | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…1d84backed Tricksters | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsTricksters won
- Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters - Map 1 Winnermaybe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.