TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
maybeof maybe, Tricksters
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x637b…948bbacked maybe49c9,198$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,695.887364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Tricksters53c4,632$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46741050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed Tricksters40c2,645$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked maybe60c1,676$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.1792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdced…c799backed maybe48c1,354$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.863571.4%25 W · 10 L+7.3wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed maybe51c1,164$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.272,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed maybe42c1,157$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.5110560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Tricksters55c1,153$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.9627037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed maybe45c1,067$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3613352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Tricksters52c1,005$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.441,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Tricksters56c951.23$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Tricksters55c927.51$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.67548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricksters47c763.59$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.033,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed maybe46c693.3$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4930155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Tricksters57c631.02$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0911650.9%59 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed maybe55c563.53$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2261054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Tricksters50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tricksters38c535.31$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.064,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Tricksters42c534.81$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Tricksters58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29012448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed maybe60c460$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.155749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7437…142dbacked Tricksters61c418.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.631735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Tricksters63c381.13$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24132443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Tricksters50c363.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1163038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Tricksters55c362.95$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.646232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x602a…9a6ebacked Tricksters40c351.44$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.016841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Tricksters48c341.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.173,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked maybe36c336.9$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6243951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tricksters48c329.31$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.271,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Tricksters33c307.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Tricksters8c303.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Tricksters51c302$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.882,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed maybe37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18921850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x488a…cb68backed Tricksters48c275$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.714540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed maybe39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7735153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tricksters51c253$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.372,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d37…ba9ebacked Tricksters60c250.31$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.362548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Tricksters43c249.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.059063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Tricksters46c237.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.781,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Tricksters42c216.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8960032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Tricksters50c200.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Tricksters54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c30…b877backed maybe52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed Tricksters50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2814…46a2backed maybe54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.661241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1c…1634backed Tricksters43c186.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricksters35c185.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.735,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed maybe60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2613857.2%79 W · 59 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Tricksters63c173.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.564,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed Tricksters59c168.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Tricksters17c164$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210947.7%52 W · 57 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked maybe61c163.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1914153.9%76 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked maybe39c162.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.592,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Tricksters57c160$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.752,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4a…c078backed maybe56c147.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4912271.3%87 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed maybe68c146.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.496457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tricksters53c140$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.582,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Tricksters52c135.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.975438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed Tricksters58c133.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Tricksters29c114.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.452,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Tricksters50c113$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.371,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed Tricksters57c112.53$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.994146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4038…35e4backed Tricksters60c108.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3911352.2%59 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Tricksters50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Tricksters70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Tricksters30c90.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.842,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf7fe…b4e9backed Tricksters51c88$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.646861.8%42 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Tricksters51c71.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed maybe40c69.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.770042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Tricksters60c66.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebd…9c0dbacked Tricksters54c66.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked maybe42c66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.171,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf8…1d84backed maybe41c62.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Tricksters60c61.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1924447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Tricksters57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.214365.1%28 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked maybe48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4efd…02eabacked Tricksters55c51.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+53.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricksters51c49.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed maybe50c49.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.710451.9%54 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed Tricksters41c47.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6214322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked Tricksters59c42.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked maybe50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2116032.5%52 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Tricksters52c38.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfb…5d8cbacked maybe63c38.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Tricksters51c34.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed Tricksters58c34.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed maybe66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.097159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Tricksters39c30.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.135973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Tricksters44c30.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5813148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Tricksters49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7447856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Tricksters52c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5545754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Tricksters60c22.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Tricksters52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4421251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Tricksters52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4827156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.