Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dad322dcc1c36dee62941003a973382085262036b659925b99fe202845c54d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof Aston Villa FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 22,745$17,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 22,220$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.62 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Aston Villa FC | 24c | 3,638$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.63 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed West Ham United FC | 79c | 2,118$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.41 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Aston Villa FC | 22c | 1,441$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aston Villa FC | 21c | 1,331$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Aston Villa FC | 9c | 1,130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…e7c0backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Aston Villa FC | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked West Ham United FC | 75c | 536$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Aston Villa FC | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Aston Villa FC | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…6d70backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…82e0backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d62cbacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed West Ham United FC | 79c | 251.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked West Ham United FC | 73c | 219$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Aston Villa FC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Ham United FC | 74c | 177.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Aston Villa FC | 15c | 138.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked West Ham United FC | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…d9bdbacked Aston Villa FC | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Aston Villa FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Aston Villa FC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Aston Villa FC | 24c | 82.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aston Villa FC | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Aston Villa FC | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Aston Villa FC | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Aston Villa FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed West Ham United FC | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed West Ham United FC | 76c | 43.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Aston Villa FC | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked West Ham United FC | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed West Ham United FC | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked West Ham United FC | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed West Ham United FC | 78c | 16.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed West Ham United FC | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.