Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3910ec7cca1eff49994d44f68685d3d4e2f42ce7361df257fc8111382f61335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 2,634$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.47 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,381$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.02 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.27 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 1,430$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,424$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 60c | 498$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 40c | 364$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 60c | 342$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 251.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 151$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 40c | 79.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…c2e3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…7311backed No | 41c | 32.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 43c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7c…31fdbacked Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 41c | 26.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 42c | 26.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 59c | 23.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.