West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xace50cca5ccad582a0cbe373d62b6c6796dd89202bf47c726a3abb48688ba25e

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,238

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	54c	10,560$5,703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,857.8	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	8,896$4,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,066.04	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	46c	4,656$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,130.38	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	54c	3,392$1,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.42	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	47c	2,000$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.01	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	45c	1,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	45c	1,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Over	55c	1,273$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	54c	1,081$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.81	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	53c	911.91$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.6	97	63.9%62 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf325…51b8backed Under	48c	900$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	47c	843.96$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.3	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over	52c	800$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under	45c	550$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	55c	550$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.5	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91df…d7f0backed Over	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd319…964dbacked Over	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd745…0f10backed Over	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	23c	251$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.73	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	7c	243.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over	54c	205.56$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.56	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850f…77bcbacked Under	47c	199.97$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb63f…2dabbacked Over	53c	199.92$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.68	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+135.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	11c	197.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.68	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over	54c	176$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.96	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	54c	164.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.9	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under	45c	99.91$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-29%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8a1…c0babacked Over	51c	95$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.55	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over	53c	93.82$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.82	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89c…d58cbacked Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	53c	77.36$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.36	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over	53c	65.77$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.91	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	53c	65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Under	47c	64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…790ebacked Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed4a…fec0backed Over	52c	53.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under	46c	53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	158	61.4%97 W · 61 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under	46c	53$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.38	174	64.9%113 W · 61 L	+16.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	47c	50.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over	52c	46.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under	46c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	142	62.7%89 W · 53 L	+12.2wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	51c	31.09$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	284	58.8%167 W · 117 L	+16.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over	53c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	191	33%63 W · 128 L	-13.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	158	66.5%105 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	76c	25.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.23	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Under	49c	24.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over	53c	20.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.75	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event