La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc10d1d6c198a6a7a1270319dfb5eda723753877d5fc5e8c07cd5225bb26a76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Real Betis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis | 60c | 11,874$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Barcelona | 32c | 5,070$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Barcelona | 42c | 2,639$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Barcelona | 47c | 1,584$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.59 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Barcelona | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Real Betis | 69c | 1,152$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.88 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Real Betis | 52c | 1,141$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Barcelona | 46c | 956.11$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Real Betis | 66c | 831.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.11 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Barcelona | 32c | 687.5$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Barcelona | 38c | 636.12$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Real Betis | 64c | 627.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Barcelona | 36c | 500.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Real Betis | 57c | 485.94$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Barcelona | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Barcelona | 31c | 322.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Barcelona | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Real Betis | 67c | 238.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Barcelona | 6c | 233.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.39 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Barcelona | 47c | 214.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Barcelona | 36c | 201.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Barcelona | 31c | 191.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.2 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 33c | 189.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Barcelona | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Barcelona | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Betis | 64c | 137.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 31c | 129$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Real Betis | 65c | 124.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Barcelona | 32c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Barcelona | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Barcelona | 36c | 92.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Barcelona | 35c | 86.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…010abacked Barcelona | 47c | 83.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Barcelona | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Real Betis | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Real Betis | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Barcelona | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Barcelona | 32c | 66.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Barcelona | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…717fbacked Barcelona | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Real Betis | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Barcelona | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…231cbacked Barcelona | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Real Betis | 55c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa275…01b5backed Barcelona | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Real Betis | 66c | 29.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Real Betis | 65c | 24.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…0d41backed Real Betis | 67c | 20.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.