La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afb216d10c2acac36f3a51000b985baf187eb1c2263bc54ac9005dc6e225afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 49c | 36,326$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,799.97 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…27a7backed Under | 51c | 16,800$8,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 8,684$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 4,615$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 51c | 4,275$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.97 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.89 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…0fc2backed Under | 7c | 1,332$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…e7fabacked Under | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Under | 44c | 691.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 33c | 606.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 599.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.97 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 587.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 29c | 566.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 475$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 50c | 372.46$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 189.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…f5c4backed Over | 52c | 159.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 52c | 122.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…f152backed Over | 52c | 121$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 118.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 51c | 115.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb742…126abacked Under | 49c | 109.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 104.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…3fd2backed Under | 52c | 92.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Over | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Under | 51c | 78.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a4…f169backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…00edbacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 50c | 46.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 51c | 37.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fa…83d2backed Under | 49c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d67…4d1fbacked Over | 52c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…33bbbacked Over | 52c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 50c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…5cf2backed Over | 51c | 20.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.