La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be9a30847bf99fb3fe830b2befda50db93e2fec8e8e73cc3c69cfbd6ec5db9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarrealof Villarreal, Getafe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Getafe | 67c | 3,553$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.24 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Getafe | 63c | 3,260$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Villarreal | 29c | 2,292$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.83 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Villarreal | 47c | 1,552$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Villarreal | 33c | 1,094$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.11 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Villarreal | 33c | 649.53$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Villarreal | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Villarreal | 34c | 370.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.79 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Villarreal | 30c | 345.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Getafe | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Villarreal | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Getafe | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Villarreal | 32c | 189.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Villarreal | 34c | 174.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Getafe | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Getafe | 72c | 112.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Villarreal | 31c | 81.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Villarreal | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Villarreal | 31c | 65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Villarreal | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Villarreal | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Villarreal | 34c | 32.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Getafe | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Villarreal | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)this page
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5Under won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.