La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6d3dca6f38f5d85807cfac56e2190c02dc3b992fc603a8088891de7c357915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,546$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 1,035$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.21 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 318.69$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 32c | 290.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 31c | 290.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 26c | 169.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 47c | 99.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 46.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 30c | 42.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5470backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…b959backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ab7backed Over | 71c | 25.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed Over | 71c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)Villarreal won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 2.5Under won
- Villarreal vs. Getafe: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.