Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe656aa2eb7f94a18c02981a48434b9c0a2253ae0993a0f7a98a62a171339356f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 76c | 16,255$12,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.63 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 6,402$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,100$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 26c | 2,434$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.73 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 1,741$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 25c | 1,689$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.27 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 1,218$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 1,108$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +252.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…8fc8backed Yes | 19c | 734.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 730.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 76c | 676.17$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 296 | 58.1%172 W · 124 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 2c | 500.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…79a8backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 75c | 496.78$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 7c | 380.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 370$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 27c | 367.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 28c | 363.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 73c | 355.52$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 344.93$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 312.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 700 | 72.3%506 W · 194 L | +83.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 309$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 74c | 284.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 15c | 265.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 21c | 240.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…6fe7backed No | 73c | 199.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 74c | 188.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 20c | 144.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 26c | 128.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 830 | 63%523 W · 307 L | +113.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…823fbacked Yes | 26c | 121.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…2e05backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 108.64$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4525…c386backed Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 25c | 94.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 86.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 18c | 83.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd767…7cd8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 52.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…0669backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7840…ccc3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 74c | 34.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 74c | 29.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 75c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.