Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08ea53df90873cb4ce76897e882d4f915043fdc09f003af828cbb5f05c252cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 70c | 2,756$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.75 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 1,562$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1aa…5c14backed Yes | 30c | 1,365$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 1,107$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,077$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,038$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +252.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 792.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…4bbcbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 621.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 534.55$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 23c | 501.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 439.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 70c | 378.77$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…8fc8backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 23c | 240$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 174.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 120.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…ebbfbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.