TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof 76ers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers48c128,484$61,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,033.782,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets55c108,588$59,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,978.6687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed 76ers45c96,434$43,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,395.1387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets52c40,000$20,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets52c16,570$8,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,953.421,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets52c11,731$6,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.4389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets53c10,559$5,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,937.21,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked 76ers45c9,910$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.55655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed 76ers49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers45c5,332$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.41,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers47c5,332$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked 76ers45c4,959$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.499451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Nets55c4,916$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.241553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers45c4,599$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Nets52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1517250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1251,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked 76ers45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked 76ers49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers48c627$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed 76ers46c560.87$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25814663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e00…6797backed Nets55c540$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Nets52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Nets55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5513155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…f117backed 76ers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Nets54c409.26$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed 76ers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed 76ers49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked 76ers47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nets55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers47c237.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets53c230.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.212,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers45c221$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed 76ers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Nets56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers47c194.95$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Nets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Nets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6828046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67b…60cdbacked 76ers45c173.05$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed 76ers46c169$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eef…b454backed 76ers53c162.09$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers46c157$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c6…66d8backed 76ers49c130.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Nets52c127.48$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1953539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers47c127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.223,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked 76ers45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked 76ers45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Nets54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.97557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Nets55c110.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5250648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed 76ers48c105.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Nets53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3517341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b28…db7fbacked 76ers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed 76ers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nets52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9926339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed 76ers49c94.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8262450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nets53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.362349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed 76ers45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5002…23dbbacked 76ers46c79.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Nets53c79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1323348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Nets54c76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.964757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Nets53c72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.852,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Nets53c61.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1321858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed 76ers49c59.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed 76ers50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8216447.6%78 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Nets52c54.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.274245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed 76ers45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed 76ers47c48.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18f…8b4abacked 76ers46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Nets58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.114357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb51b…779dbacked 76ers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42f8…bdc9backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30dc…9fa0backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Nets52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Nets55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nets53c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked 76ers46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.13043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b43…bd4fbacked 76ers46c34.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed 76ers49c33.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.412657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked 76ers45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked 76ers46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Nets52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nets52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Nets52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.856556.9%37 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed 76ers46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Nets53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets49c24.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.