NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910595ccafd69052322849d32876857221dc8ee47479214d55557a8e085cbbfa

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,364 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x21de…0a94backed Under	49c	15,918$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	6,783$3,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,365.79	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	48c	2,412$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.89	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	52c	923.74$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	48c	719.12$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.92	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	50c	648$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	50c	648$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	158	7%11 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…f34ebacked Under	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	51c	479$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.22	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under	52c	464.74$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.66	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under	9c	363.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.56	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	341.02$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.51	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	52c	303.85$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	139	51.1%71 W · 68 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under	49c	283.67$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	168	49.4%83 W · 85 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	50c	223.97$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.3	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Over	47c	206.64$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.52	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	67c	205.19$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.79	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	49c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	156	57.7%90 W · 66 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	143	57.3%82 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under	55c	181.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.85	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	44c	179.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.04	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	50c	167$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.82	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	48c	146.85$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.36	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabb…0cf6backed Under	50c	141.02$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.51	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	52c	129$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.08	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa95…447cbacked Under	48c	95.76$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under	52c	90.3$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.78	383	47%180 W · 203 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	53c	88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.64	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	49c	80.01$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.65	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Under	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under	52c	66$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	43c	63.33$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.78	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	32c	63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	56c	62.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.17	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…bcf2backed Over	48c	62.49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Under	53c	58.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	45c	57.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.63	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Over	48c	42$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over	52c	38.5$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Under	52c	38.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.8wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over	46c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.32	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under	50c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Over	50c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over	50c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over	51c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Over	51c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.66	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over	50c	33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	58c	30.03$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.61	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Over	48c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Over	48c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Over	48c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under	52c	21.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7597…a162backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event