NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f824e8171e7857dcf73ab2b511756ecbc9b80f5120250bf4f77f4a5811bb6e1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	15,780$7,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,591.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	52c	11,650$6,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,575.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	52c	10,000$5,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,841.49	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	49c	4,000$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.13	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Under	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Over	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Over	43c	1,900$817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Under	57c	1,900$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over	48c	1,051$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.53	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	430$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	56c	414.16$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.93	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	52c	250$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	48c	229$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.92	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	49c	119.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.26	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	45c	105$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under	56c	95$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under	54c	92.87$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44f6…23a7backed Under	52c	90$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	67cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	48c	90$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	46c	60.38$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over	48c	47.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-12.7wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	54c	38.28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over	48c	30.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event