NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4062a69aed3fbba32515c67026c004863d815f92ecddf3b035891b8f81ebb8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof 76ers, Nets
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets	58c	10,000$5,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.98	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers	42c	6,594$2,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.45	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	41c	2,490$1,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.75	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers	43c	2,171$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$927.11	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Nets	57c	1,321$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.06	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers	42c	1,300$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Nets	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked 76ers	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed 76ers	43c	361.04$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.56	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets	58c	250$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nets	57c	240$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.2	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers	41c	174.19$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.74	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers	42c	157$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers	42c	147.55$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.97	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Nets	57c	123$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.89	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Nets	57c	120$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets	57c	120$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.6	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Nets	56c	119.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers	43c	113.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers	41c	110.45$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.28	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Nets	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers	43c	81.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Nets	58c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Nets	57c	72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Nets	57c	72$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…adbabacked 76ers	43c	64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Nets	57c	57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Nets	58c	56$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Nets	57c	54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Nets	57c	54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets	57c	54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed 76ers	43c	49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	237	53.6%127 W · 110 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	318	52.2%166 W · 152 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	273	53.8%147 W · 126 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Nets	57c	36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.48	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets	59c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.3	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked 76ers	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Nets	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers	42c	25.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed 76ers	43c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	260	40%104 W · 156 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	158	54.4%86 W · 72 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Nets	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	251	50.2%126 W · 125 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event