NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x708106c1c9457d613db55fe69d6fedfb6ef6247886ffa628f76f50cb7cad2d4e

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof 76ers, Nets
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,743 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nets	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,899.99	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers	39c	4,954$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923.16	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed 76ers	39c	4,934$1,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,924.44	193	51.3%99 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets	62c	4,128$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,576.66	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers	38c	1,999$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.66	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers	38c	1,393$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.25	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked 76ers	37c	1,315$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.44	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Nets	63c	1,268$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.16	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked 76ers	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers	39c	901$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.39	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	37c	696.09$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets	62c	484.03$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.03	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers	40c	392$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.81	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets	62c	262.9$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 76ers	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Nets	71c	210.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.21	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers	39c	170.8$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.93	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Nets	59c	120$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nets	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.49	628	48.7%306 W · 322 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed 76ers	39c	98.86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Nets	63c	95.72$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.72	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Nets	59c	84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Nets	59c	84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.44	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked 76ers	39c	74.23$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Nets	59c	72$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.52	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers	39c	71.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.19	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Nets	61c	51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.89	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Nets	61c	51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.89	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7434…1276backed 76ers	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed 76ers	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed 76ers	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Nets	63c	46.7$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	363	56.5%205 W · 158 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers	37c	45.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.88	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked 76ers	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked 76ers	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed 76ers	41c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed 76ers	41c	37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed 76ers	41c	35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked 76ers	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed 76ers	41c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked 76ers	41c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked 76ers	41c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-44%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed 76ers	37c	28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked 76ers	41c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets	59c	18.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.72	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event