NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45420b996c536063c578aadc1582c39a7746484c162b6dc5f6731e75ac1e02a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,132 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	52c	3,170$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,646.6	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	49c	2,399$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.39	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	46c	415.7$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.66	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	17c	400$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	266.12$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.59	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd643…9811backed Over	65c	259$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.35	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under	65c	152.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.98	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	35c	99.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	39c	96.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.72	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f02…c123backed Over	39c	91.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over	36c	70.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.27	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa14…f533backed Under	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Under	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over	41c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Under	61c	26.23$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.23	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Under	50c	20.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.1	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-12.3wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event