NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4854dbaf47ab4874f359f232e5153a2334bb259ac4b50d3b50329c593a68f438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 46c | 59,060$27,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,322.38 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 13,325$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 54c | 12,751$6,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.66 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 8,940$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 7,142$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.28 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 50c | 6,028$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.47 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 54c | 2,632$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…2b11backed Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 52c | 2,049$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 1,420$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 1,303$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.11 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,294$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Under | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 54c | 990$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 54c | 792$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 599$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 451.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 406.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Over | 52c | 343.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 51c | 340.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…8887backed Under | 46c | 319.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 20c | 199.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 53c | 188.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 149.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 115.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 50c | 106.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…ff2cbacked Over | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…961bbacked Over | 57c | 43.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Over | 80c | 41.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…fd0bbacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 36.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…d340backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…208bbacked Over | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…8e8abacked Under | 50c | 26.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 25.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…4852backed Over | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2a…50fdbacked Over | 51c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6405…11eebacked Over | 51c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…a596backed Under | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e18…53bbbacked Under | 50c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7513…9fa3backed Under | 50c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…6c86backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…b398backed Over | 51c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…548fbacked Under | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…bc54backed Over | 51c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…1fd1backed Over | 51c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…af86backed Under | 50c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…4ea1backed Under | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 57c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. 76ersNets won
- Nets vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: 76ers (-8.5)Nets won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.