Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bae274000e6974dd00f32897df1d478baecad924870691a1c32aa42cea5ebeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,120$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 46c | 600.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 54c | 551.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.76 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 52c | 485.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.34 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 49c | 372.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Over | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Over | 45c | 273.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 108.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 44c | 95.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)Weibo Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.