Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113fd3773a86d44045fb6ad1c6e312134d1ed86f73cce43ae92eacb68b61970e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 31,607$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,614.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed OG | 72c | 12,624$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked OG | 69c | 9,472$6,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG | 72c | 8,053$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.7 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 6,700$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 6,438$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.94 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 6,427$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.94 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked OG | 71c | 4,611$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.11 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 4,513$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked OG | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 3,155$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.01 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 3,052$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.16 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c99ebacked Virtus.pro | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 79c | 2,832$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.26 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…03c3backed OG | 71c | 2,527$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,258$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.64 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed OG | 72c | 2,200$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed OG | 70c | 2,059$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…4e59backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,020$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,992$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 65c | 1,846$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 1,828$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.55 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,673$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.17 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,647$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,622$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…fabbbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,560$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,548$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.54 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…1b16backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,540$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked OG | 71c | 1,525$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.25 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed OG | 70c | 1,510$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,510$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 68c | 1,417$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.06 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed OG | 80c | 1,400$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 73c | 1,285$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.8 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…3365backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…3aa0backed OG | 71c | 1,075$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…c529backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,069$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 65c | 1,052$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…3e49backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2c…f35cbacked OG | 72c | 1,030$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed OG | 72c | 1,025$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed OG | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OG | 78c | 961.96$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 934.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 899.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 71c | 897.68$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 882.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 852.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 826.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 807$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 68c | 789.32$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…acedbacked OG | 72c | 789$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked OG | 71c | 780$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…34f7backed OG | 72c | 777$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f1…d05fbacked OG | 72c | 771$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…e50cbacked OG | 72c | 763$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 723.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…9d71backed OG | 72c | 683$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…97ccbacked OG | 72c | 678$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…8245backed OG | 72c | 659$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 645.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 640.43$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked OG | 72c | 609.61$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked OG | 78c | 599.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 514.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked OG | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed OG | 72c | 467.22$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked OG | 72c | 442.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 439.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…add9backed OG | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 385.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 366$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked OG | 70c | 366$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked OG | 72c | 361.9$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed OG | 71c | 351.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed OG | 66c | 342.63$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 329.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 329.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed OG | 71c | 321.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked OG | 70c | 319.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 316.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.