Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0b5e2ca68a9ede17e796d6494703e914bafbb73b97dc14e18cfe658d765df20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 10,718$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked OG | 67c | 8,155$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 58c | 7,695$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.03 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed OG | 58c | 7,015$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.66 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 5,845$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.81 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ed…48c5backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 5,000$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 4,937$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.96 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 3,702$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.34 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…e150backed OG | 64c | 3,087$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 2,759$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.44 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,400$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.98 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 2,123$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.92 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked OG | 59c | 2,108$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.58 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 74c | 1,785$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.11 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed OG | 58c | 1,717$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,518$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.09 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 61c | 1,465$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.32 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,235$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,212$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.64 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,206$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.1 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,191$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 860.41$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.65 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 853.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed OG | 61c | 817.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 771.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.49 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked OG | 60c | 667.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 662.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 614.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 63c | 603.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed OG | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 58c | 590$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed OG | 62c | 559.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 519.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 514.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 473.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 459.69$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked OG | 79c | 423.66$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 419.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 407.47$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG | 78c | 398.72$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 393.9$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…e50abacked OG | 68c | 389.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked OG | 76c | 381.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 380.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 379.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed OG | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked OG | 77c | 334.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed OG | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 285.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed OG | 62c | 278.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 237.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 230$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed OG | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 61c | 196.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked OG | 60c | 195.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed OG | 61c | 195.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…9148backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 176.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked OG | 62c | 175.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked OG | 58c | 172.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed OG | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked OG | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 149$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked OG | 71c | 132.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 128.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked OG | 63c | 124.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 116.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed OG | 66c | 109.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 108.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 105.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 104.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed OG | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed OG | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 95.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked OG | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…bf80backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 84.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…d2b1backed OG | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked OG | 60c | 76.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.