Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029be745890c8970db12647dc4bf66a6c553c16a3dece0d3e15795bd13cacdec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 10,675$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.72 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 10,171$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.17 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 6,240$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 3,850$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.19 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 64c | 3,003$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.25 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…9e1cbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 61c | 3,000$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.93 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 2,746$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.29 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked OG | 58c | 2,271$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.61 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c99ebacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,696$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked OG | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 1,445$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,435$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.63 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 1,416$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 54c | 1,372$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 75c | 1,356$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.13 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,299$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.68 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed OG | 75c | 1,201$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 927.33$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 916.48$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 894.5$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 68c | 894.5$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.24 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 52c | 854.28$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 791.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked OG | 65c | 790.22$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 50c | 777.82$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 663.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 67c | 650.69$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 634.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…0006backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 568.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed OG | 67c | 507.66$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 504.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 459.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked OG | 67c | 449.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 448$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 426.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG | 75c | 400.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 57c | 360.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 354.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…9148backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 340.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed OG | 61c | 329.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 325.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 307.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed OG | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 270.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 60c | 259.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked OG | 75c | 246.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed OG | 62c | 229.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked OG | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked OG | 59c | 124.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 101.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked OG | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed OG | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…e99bbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 89.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked OG | 67c | 82.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 76.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 72.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed OG | 61c | 65.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 56.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed OG | 62c | 50.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed OG | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked OG | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked OG | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 39.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 34.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…7531backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked OG | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked OG | 65c | 31.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked OG | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked OG | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.