Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1af4f6751fff0863b45a1e8b61f504e4d14b4d1e5c1e163fa33ca71a9a1a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 57c | 71,933$40,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,237.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 52,182$23,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,474.52 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Under | 53c | 46,308$24,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,810.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 16,463$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 15c | 14,948$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.75 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 11,945$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.15 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 43c | 6,395$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 6,305$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 51c | 6,180$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,582$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.74 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 5,403$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 43c | 4,607$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 24c | 2,886$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,789$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.91 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 49c | 2,024$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 46c | 1,644$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.77 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,435$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 45c | 1,247$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 50c | 876$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 46c | 713.1$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 47c | 510$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 457$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 23c | 226.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f5backed Over | 50c | 185.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 15c | 157$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 146.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f470backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 47c | 69.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 51c | 60.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 46c | 52.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Under | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 46c | 33.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 49c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.