TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes29c8,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3204126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes31c7,246$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.321323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c7,020$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c5,418$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.74,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes73c3,833$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8705349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c1,181$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes24c745$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.74022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1747045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Yes21c481.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No27c481.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.161,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes17c476.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes68c430.63$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.013262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No41c374.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8720856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007850%39 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb0…8009backed Yes67c299.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c284.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No50c249.53$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.057032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No28c206.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1492433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No69c171.3$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.110335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No79c170$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42085%17 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Yes76c168.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab81…249abacked Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes29c155$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9512934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes26c151.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No71c149$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.217247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes14c143.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x955c…3b0cbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes30c119$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No71c117.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0411646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No75c113.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.338163%51 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes25c113.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Yes25c107.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked No64c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.517727.1%48 W · 129 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes30c96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.860%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6839621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.38838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No74c89.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2612657.1%72 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No28c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6125455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes27c75.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.567030%21 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8813050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked No20c70$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes29c60.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6730031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6612147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No71c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6612945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked No80c53.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes77c52.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6e…4767backed Yes72c51.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.517050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed No70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.447553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.448055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed No70c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1a…ad50backed No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f5…1770backed No72c27.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.882166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b28…7762backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed No70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.095149%25 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed No70c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.222450%12 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.224355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.223857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.225558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.223948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked No70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7428754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed No75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.