TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazersof Tarleton State Texans, Utah Tech Trailblazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers55c2,800$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tarleton State Texans43c2,578$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.652,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tarleton State Texans2c2,488$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Tarleton State Texans24c2,171$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.721,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans28c2,167$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.481,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tarleton State Texans2c2,160$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8b…15babacked Tarleton State Texans43c1,592$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6457965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tarleton State Texans12c1,441$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.982,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah Tech Trailblazers68c1,350$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.413,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Utah Tech Trailblazers58c843.88$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.4374649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Utah Tech Trailblazers58c647$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tarleton State Texans30c603.64$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.393,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tarleton State Texans10c537.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans44c386.22$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Tarleton State Texans43c374$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8275447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Tarleton State Texans29c344.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8412733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Tarleton State Texans38c341.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.034656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Utah Tech Trailblazers72c321.17$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6648051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Tarleton State Texans35c293$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4719050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c291$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.135,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Tarleton State Texans42c206.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.526065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Tarleton State Texans8c206$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0236845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c184.84$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4821050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Tarleton State Texans13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tarleton State Texans37c132.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3340252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Tarleton State Texans38c120.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.897350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Tarleton State Texans45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Tarleton State Texans41c108$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4389146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Tarleton State Texans42c99.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab5c…3fbdbacked Tarleton State Texans47c43.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.632142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Tarleton State Texans50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e40…224ebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-40.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Utah Tech Trailblazers59c34.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.254170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4821746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa22f…604cbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854070%28 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Tarleton State Texans41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2510151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Tarleton State Texans43c23.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011841.5%49 W · 69 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Utah Tech Trailblazers57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Utah Tech Trailblazers67c19.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x289d…ed57backed Utah Tech Trailblazers79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers71c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.