Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb537c1699d7784bafefc4edda4147d7fd9bdf71064a78766ccb84e579f6eefa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $689,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 628,829$323,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323,714.92 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 132,672$64,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,989.38 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…6b51backed Over | 52c | 49,310$25,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,548.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,006$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 4,993$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.24 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 50c | 2,254$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 967$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 49c | 249.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…54d1backed Under | 49c | 119.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 51c | 69.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 51c | 64.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 37.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…a1cebacked Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Utah Tech Trailblazers (-1.5)Utah Tech Trailblazers won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech TrailblazersUtah Tech Trailblazers won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.