Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27eeaf88604e2e4d584c324282a8afb8d1eca44929afbb99ea6c9b513ceb32b3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $101,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd267…9dc6backed Yes	18c	7,186$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.41	93	22.6%21 W · 72 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	19c	6,556$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.77	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c0…940dbacked Yes	8c	4,455$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-53%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes	13c	3,818$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes	20c	3,300$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.06	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes	17c	2,882$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.89	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes	8c	2,092$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.53	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Yes	20c	1,994$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	18c	1,914$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.81	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes	17c	1,644$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes	14c	1,359$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes	8c	1,256$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.51	259	54.8%142 W · 117 L	+17.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes	15c	1,250$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.3	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	17c	866.16$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.53	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes	19c	856.03$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	7c	841.92$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.37	293	43%126 W · 167 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes	12c	834.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	15c	830$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.99	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79f…662ebacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	2c	700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes	18c	626.31$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	15c	549.04$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.36	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b11…b187backed Yes	19c	528.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes	21c	474.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	8c	473.26$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e6c…a53dbacked Yes	14c	428.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	14c	424.94$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.99	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes	12c	404.4$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	18c	403.74$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.97	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ee9…69a0backed Yes	21c	395.05$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.97	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	13c	385.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.86	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes	18c	353$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes	17c	336.51$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.21	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-12%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes	17c	320.57$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes	17c	294.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes	8c	280$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.1	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes	11c	267.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	12c	266.58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.41	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes	19c	245$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	16c	226.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	13c	199.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes	20c	195.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Yes	17c	171.14$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.09	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes	19c	171.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	7c	156.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes	19c	149.26$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	148.23$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…27a1backed Yes	15c	135.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602e…618dbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	16c	119.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed No	79c	113.78$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.78	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…a4d0backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes	17c	103.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	70	30%21 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d4…580dbacked Yes	15c	102$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f01…8bd0backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e18…696fbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	16c	99.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef8…3091backed Yes	19c	97.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d40…4e09backed Yes	12c	92.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes	17c	88.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc281…af82backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes	19c	63.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x100b…7641backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	186	41.4%77 W · 109 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes	21c	50.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	80c	46.41$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…a09cbacked No	78c	26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	80c	21.55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.31	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No	78c	20.6$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.53	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No	80c	18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.6	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…8a05backed No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?this page
Will Angola vs. Zimbabwe end in a draw?Yes won
Will Angola win on 2025-12-26?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event