Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d530d926034141f6d776f13cf25843bd9b804489954324ecc15086cb3854b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 16,347$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 71c | 11,111$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 72c | 8,750$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 73c | 6,845$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.73 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 28c | 6,676$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.39 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 27c | 5,594$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.18 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 4,500$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 2,335$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.73 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yes | 25c | 2,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.14 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 1,450$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 28c | 1,350$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 31c | 1,250$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.6 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 1,192$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.65 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 27c | 792.85$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 20c | 750.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 20c | 669.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 8c | 622.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 599.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 72c | 466$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 28c | 464.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 28c | 400.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 28c | 347.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 73c | 320$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 279.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 78c | 257.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 26c | 224.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 216.83$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 27c | 182.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed No | 71c | 171.58$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 74c | 163.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 28c | 139.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 30c | 112.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…6600backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 29c | 103.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 23c | 96.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 72.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 22c | 71.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 72c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…9afdbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…4cb5backed No | 73c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a78…08eabacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed No | 73c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
- Will West Ham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.