Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f9b2cbef12b2d59725f7c329c1bc1b62e321b123af0a242cb4c1511b02def1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 42c | 18,043$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,420 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 44c | 9,998$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.9 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 6,673$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Over | 54c | 1,578$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,271$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.43 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,228$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Under | 47c | 1,061$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 51c | 869.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.74 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 31c | 719$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Over | 65c | 636.8$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 529.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 52c | 236.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 211.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 115$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 58c | 103.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 93.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 55c | 70.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 57c | 52.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 46c | 34.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…7b63backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…91b8backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5this page
- Brighton vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)Brentford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.