Premier League · resolved market
Brighton vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4ed8996790fcec537eefa0453962d5dc2b35461c498ad849f03a0b5239b48a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 1,727$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.42 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,026$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 60c | 999.99$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 400.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 68c | 393.91$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 59c | 327$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 61c | 161.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 59c | 120.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 18c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 68c | 69.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…492bbacked Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 39c | 52.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 46.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…390abacked Yes | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 36.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 60c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…91b8backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brighton vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Brighton (-1.5)Brentford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.