TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes46c142,622$65,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,577.612853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked No55c72,352$39,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,715.091172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c62,898$35,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,916.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No59c23,694$13,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,786.1535758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c14,816$6,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.21,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c12,705$7,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.9548150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No54c11,651$6,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.6731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes45c10,661$4,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.5818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes46c10,100$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c10,013$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.0979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…6820backed Yes11c8,413$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c6,225$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.544,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c3,814$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes13c3,639$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2828736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Yes9c3,099$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.57147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked No54c3,004$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.481442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x132e…c724backed Yes17c3,000$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.323050%15 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No54c2,869$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.749849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No54c1,944$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.2424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Yes44c1,799$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No55c1,544$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.9618259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes44c1,279$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c77…12babacked Yes44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805e…e345backed No56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Yes31c1,033$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed Yes4c895.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.143327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed No54c864.04$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.462250%11 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c823.2$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.981,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes39c765$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No56c749.92$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.714854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes45c749.04$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.072259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No55c697.22$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No68c663.52$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9625545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes34c651.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes43c630.51$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.129263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2766450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked No55c545.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes27c514.81$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23014342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad7c…004dbacked No55c438.91$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed No56c355.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.611752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes3c350$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507443.2%32 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11df…731fbacked Yes45c306.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.792250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13826651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x350d…b898backed Yes27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207054.3%38 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No56c281.97$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0717337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No55c263.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes16c262.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2612446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No43c258$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9327454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No54c246$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.384946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes13c225$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.54845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes44c224.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f5…aceebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8e2…9710backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes19c216.34$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0730666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No56c212.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5411155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes24c204.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9758…caafbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes33c198.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.543450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No61c183.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7717549.1%86 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8802…f468backed Yes20c183.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05ec…7158backed Yes27c167.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.551030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No56c146.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc35…d905backed No70c144.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa4…17c0backed No55c143.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.556963.8%44 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…76babacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Yes21c135.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f24…4063backed Yes46c135$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd49b…bfe5backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.