Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bec33462fd4d95cb5e4aba9b625d7bafdfe9c49fe2f12a95215844b264e9d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 9,277$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,604.47 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 29c | 4,338$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 4,118$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.76 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 3,276$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.81 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,116$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 72c | 1,855$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,823$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.56 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 73c | 1,780$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.11 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 1,753$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 31c | 1,571$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.61 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 913.43$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.7 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed No | 65c | 871.73$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.07 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 20c | 832.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 72c | 550.3$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 13c | 540$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 18c | 538.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.71 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 528.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 78c | 510$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.3 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 508.26$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.08 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 71c | 499.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 358.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 11c | 284$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 72c | 259.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 245.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 64c | 201.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bfe5backed Yes | 77c | 154.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 65c | 152.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed No | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 71c | 124.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…6c04backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…15d6backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 29c | 100.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 98.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 83.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…baa0backed No | 72c | 63.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223c…0fb7backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…650dbacked No | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…de02backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 34c | 41.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…38c8backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 61c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…ae82backed No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…be50backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…d9f6backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…a4cabacked Yes | 78c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…13c4backed No | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.