Euroleague · resolved market
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58626e46796b2d15ef8313d6271c3cefd1ed033e51e383d71e1bee334f0aeff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangdong Southern Tigersof Guangdong Southern Tigers, Guangzhou Loong Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 2,607$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 14c | 1,925$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 15c | 1,771$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 25c | 1,102$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 21c | 1,025$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 13c | 865$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 786.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…8055backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 79c | 698.41$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 20c | 678.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 599.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…260ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 521$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 24c | 515.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 499.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 334$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…7f87backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 300$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 257.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5960backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 159.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 156.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…fd72backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 154.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 19c | 140.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…76efbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…42dbbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 73c | 94.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 86.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 17c | 81.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Guangdong Southern Tigers | 69c | 60.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 18c | 60.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc097…720cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 22c | 49.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.