Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 Esports vs No Need Orga (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf2699895d017a366a397235a45540debb0eecde46501bc51b386c532d38a3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, No Need Orga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed No Need Orga | 24c | 17,251$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.66 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 Esports | 70c | 5,215$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.84 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…25e9backed G2 Esports | 79c | 4,591$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports | 73c | 3,112$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.02 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No Need Orga | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed No Need Orga | 12c | 2,891$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.75 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No Need Orga | 34c | 2,771$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.52 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…e9dabacked G2 Esports | 77c | 1,905$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.8 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed G2 Esports | 73c | 1,577$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.66 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No Need Orga | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed No Need Orga | 8c | 1,410$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed G2 Esports | 80c | 1,325$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No Need Orga | 22c | 963.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.65 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked No Need Orga | 16c | 923.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No Need Orga | 21c | 913.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked No Need Orga | 34c | 713.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No Need Orga | 20c | 707.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed G2 Esports | 72c | 706.04$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed G2 Esports | 77c | 651.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked G2 Esports | 78c | 578.19$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No Need Orga | 37c | 539.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed G2 Esports | 75c | 424.41$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed G2 Esports | 75c | 404$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked No Need Orga | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No Need Orga | 22c | 399.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed No Need Orga | 25c | 396$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…3b0fbacked No Need Orga | 15c | 357.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked G2 Esports | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed G2 Esports | 59c | 336.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…6c97backed No Need Orga | 44c | 336$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed No Need Orga | 30c | 334.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed G2 Esports | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked No Need Orga | 13c | 299.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…060cbacked No Need Orga | 34c | 295.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked G2 Esports | 77c | 295$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed No Need Orga | 29c | 214$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…e628backed No Need Orga | 48c | 207.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed No Need Orga | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No Need Orga | 18c | 178.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed No Need Orga | 19c | 178.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 175.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 201 | 71.1%143 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d0…b6e6backed G2 Esports | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…18a5backed No Need Orga | 21c | 159.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…81bcbacked No Need Orga | 13c | 152.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 145.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed G2 Esports | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed G2 Esports | 74c | 130.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed G2 Esports | 65c | 121.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 116.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed No Need Orga | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed No Need Orga | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed G2 Esports | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed No Need Orga | 36c | 98.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed G2 Esports | 67c | 73.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No Need Orga | 25c | 73.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed No Need Orga | 34c | 70.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…17d4backed No Need Orga | 20c | 67.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked G2 Esports | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked G2 Esports | 76c | 56.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…ec8bbacked No Need Orga | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…3f82backed G2 Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…9705backed G2 Esports | 77c | 45.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed G2 Esports | 73c | 45.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked No Need Orga | 37c | 42.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No Need Orga | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed No Need Orga | 31c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…3e70backed G2 Esports | 76c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005d…4691backed G2 Esports | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…e379backed G2 Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2e…c279backed G2 Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked G2 Esports | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…adf8backed G2 Esports | 75c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.