Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1875716a2d5ceab211dc4bba32a01951ac4b710c7ed89f988a92b63e61797acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,280,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $959,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,280,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 9c | 87,044$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.74 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 1c | 69,919$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.92 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked Yes | 6c | 60,832$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.66 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 9c | 55,513$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.22 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 39,529$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.89 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…1cc5backed Yes | 3c | 36,239$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 13c | 31,242$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.89 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 30,688$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.9 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…22f4backed Yes | 16c | 24,808$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 15c | 21,364$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 12c | 19,489$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 5c | 17,839$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.5 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 1c | 16,567$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…4a4abacked Yes | 14c | 16,479$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 15,530$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.46 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…0ed4backed Yes | 13c | 13,700$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…ff8cbacked Yes | 5c | 13,123$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…cb53backed Yes | 8c | 12,727$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.65 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 13c | 12,663$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.72 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 17c | 12,635$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.41 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…63b4backed Yes | 8c | 12,352$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bb…ea96backed Yes | 5c | 10,362$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed Yes | 9c | 10,131$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 12c | 9,450$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…cf13backed Yes | 2c | 8,935$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 12c | 7,823$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.96 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…3b43backed Yes | 11c | 7,777$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,361$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…898bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…6244backed Yes | 8c | 6,278$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 10c | 5,855$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 10c | 5,715$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 13c | 5,582$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 4c | 5,265$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.28 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 14c | 4,940$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.6 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 13c | 4,894$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 8c | 4,135$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…c7bebacked Yes | 12c | 4,065$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 4c | 3,900$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 10c | 3,881$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,808$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 8c | 3,686$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…23fabacked Yes | 7c | 3,609$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 7c | 3,523$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,436$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.61 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 17c | 3,341$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…8d16backed Yes | 16c | 3,270$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…7882backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 13c | 2,933$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,900$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,861$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 11c | 2,775$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked Yes | 9c | 2,737$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 12c | 2,492$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 13c | 2,384$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1630…e3fdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,299$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +467.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Yes | 12c | 2,264$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 10c | 2,148$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…c1ebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,100$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aafbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,058$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…815ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,054$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 14c | 2,001$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,889$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…ddcabacked Yes | 12c | 1,864$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,786$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,725$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,718$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…8b9ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,700$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 4c | 1,663$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 6c | 1,600$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 11c | 1,594$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,543$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…4a11backed Yes | 13c | 1,520$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 16c | 1,469$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…4d49backed Yes | 11c | 1,465$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…1131backed Yes | 4c | 1,429$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 14c | 1,406$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 9c | 1,402$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,377$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Yes | 11c | 1,350$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…bb08backed Yes | 13c | 1,330$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…81a4backed Yes | 12c | 1,299$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 10c | 1,294$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…a106backed Yes | 8c | 1,290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…28cbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,261$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…4070backed Yes | 5c | 1,211$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9500backed Yes | 5c | 1,205$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…76b1backed Yes | 10c | 1,186$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…7e34backed Yes | 10c | 1,161$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…9af9backed Yes | 12c | 1,150$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…fdc7backed Yes | 8c | 1,086$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 13c | 1,085$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.