Middle East · resolved market
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05af21323a5b0bc3135c326564051fff04fe799764f9e587f82e7bb1b4db5b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 65c | 34,615$22,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168.86 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 41c | 28,921$11,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,809.78 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 66c | 25,129$16,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,616.56 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 55c | 23,617$13,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,576.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed No | 34c | 21,001$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,084 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 0c | 18,334$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 73c | 16,161$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.09 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2690backed No | 1c | 15,607$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 69c | 14,038$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.06 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked No | 27c | 12,474$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 63c | 9,713$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 77c | 9,443$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 29c | 9,380$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 63c | 8,537$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.17 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…60b1backed No | 0c | 8,083$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…203abacked No | 31c | 6,971$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 11c | 6,865$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.72 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked No | 48c | 6,311$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed No | 48c | 6,231$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.11 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 66c | 6,051$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.97 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 27c | 5,955$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.07 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 13c | 5,370$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.88 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 63c | 5,250$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.99 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…ed65backed No | 17c | 5,134$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…fe2ebacked No | 33c | 5,035$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 26c | 4,546$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…2b15backed Yes | 70c | 4,300$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 74c | 4,230$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.83 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed No | 38c | 3,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 39c | 3,895$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.25 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 37c | 3,845$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.86 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Yes | 76c | 3,687$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 27c | 3,461$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e514backed No | 30c | 3,365$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 29c | 3,360$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 57c | 3,107$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.22 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 3,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,634$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.22 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 67c | 2,622$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.26 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 43c | 2,517$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.94 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 33c | 2,494$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.87 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8346…fb48backed No | 36c | 2,225$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 9c | 2,178$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 2,066$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.2 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 49c | 2,027$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…1e3ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…5152backed Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…35debacked No | 30c | 1,986$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…bbcfbacked No | 15c | 1,972$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 29c | 1,893$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.85 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed No | 40c | 1,854$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 80c | 1,821$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.28 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 41c | 1,700$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.41 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…f2abbacked No | 47c | 1,694$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…d22bbacked No | 30c | 1,671$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 34c | 1,478$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.81 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed No | 26c | 1,476$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…fdddbacked Yes | 67c | 1,462$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…0647backed Yes | 57c | 1,454$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 52c | 1,354$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 34c | 1,316$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.01 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked Yes | 67c | 1,295$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.01 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…b9e5backed No | 39c | 1,281$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa606…420fbacked No | 25c | 1,245$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 1,241$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 10c | 1,236$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 12c | 1,225$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…fdd3backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…17d2backed Yes | 70c | 1,183$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 41c | 1,173$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 66c | 1,172$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…020fbacked No | 24c | 1,161$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 28c | 1,110$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,080$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 14c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fea…7375backed No | 42c | 1,000$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 12c | 965$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed No | 32c | 950$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…a970backed No | 39c | 942.79$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked No | 18c | 917.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 76c | 915.75$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.05 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 78c | 843$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 61c | 822.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…5a09backed Yes | 61c | 815.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 2c | 809.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 33c | 805$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…2bf7backed Yes | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…ca68backed No | 37c | 765.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 757.77$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 64c | 744.65$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 51c | 725.66$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…1047backed Yes | 59c | 703.87$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…7a6cbacked No | 10c | 696.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed No | 27c | 692.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…e76abacked No | 44c | 683.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…dd08backed Yes | 75c | 669.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…0464backed No | 32c | 648.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 22c | 630.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.