Middle East · resolved market
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eb32e53e1e624187306af79cd2db0139dba53434e723894477d6ec9630114b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 7,567$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.6 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53af…629fbacked Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked Yes | 30c | 7,012$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 4c | 6,764$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,942$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 15c | 5,076$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.59 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed No | 65c | 4,874$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 8c | 4,830$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.07 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 75c | 4,778$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.55 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…3743backed Yes | 15c | 4,448$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 78c | 4,399$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.71 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Yes | 38c | 4,277$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 80c | 4,262$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 14c | 4,239$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 4,211$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.81 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,851$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 12c | 3,692$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.79 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 64c | 3,639$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 70c | 3,232$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.15 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 79c | 3,014$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…760abacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,669$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.03 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 29c | 2,416$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 28c | 2,252$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 77c | 2,176$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.3 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 49c | 2,021$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,012$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…fe56backed Yes | 3c | 1,959$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…d0eebacked Yes | 50c | 1,880$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…70febacked Yes | 25c | 1,763$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…a4fbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,753$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 1c | 1,720$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 8c | 1,685$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 42c | 1,679$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 12c | 1,582$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 15c | 1,557$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 76c | 1,555$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 40c | 1,538$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.33 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 76c | 1,535$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 53c | 1,522$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.88 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,461$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.21 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…63b4backed Yes | 27c | 1,459$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked Yes | 27c | 1,448$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 64c | 1,431$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.76 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 18c | 1,410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.27 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…efd2backed Yes | 47c | 1,385$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 29c | 1,312$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.56 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 14c | 1,311$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 14c | 1,301$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 10c | 1,200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 34c | 1,195$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,164$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…86c6backed Yes | 41c | 1,118$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 64c | 1,108$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,077$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 16c | 1,026$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 70c | 1,023$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…1c17backed Yes | 30c | 1,010$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8c86backed Yes | 29c | 999.09$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 985.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.92 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…ba8ebacked Yes | 52c | 969.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 70c | 966.67$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 937.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 6c | 896.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked Yes | 11c | 876.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 30c | 869.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 59c | 851.67$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 73c | 838.8$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 7c | 830$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 30c | 800.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 35c | 800$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 21c | 766.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…6244backed Yes | 32c | 732.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 39c | 731.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.39 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…1789backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe645…8359backed Yes | 17c | 713.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 14c | 705$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 677.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 76c | 656.54$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…77e1backed Yes | 19c | 637.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 5c | 632.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 24c | 628.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…60b1backed Yes | 9c | 613.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 17c | 612.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 600.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…5976backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…e8a3backed Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…9112backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 560$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 72c | 555$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…850cbacked No | 67c | 551.75$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…984cbacked No | 73c | 547.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 26c | 541.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f3aabacked Yes | 38c | 541$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 537.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed Yes | 15c | 488.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d9…1882backed Yes | 8c | 479.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.