Us Politics · resolved market
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b52093ac55e7de3d47227963697b265c8a56201bec81235e7de0040935d885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb62e…8a6bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,767$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 4c | 10,490$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 8,743$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…0f9abacked Yes | 13c | 6,829$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 6,177$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 10c | 6,109$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,888$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.18 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes | 4c | 4,875$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,522$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8ad6backed Yes | 10c | 4,145$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 10c | 3,312$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.68 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,096$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,638$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,463$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…2ddabacked Yes | 7c | 2,351$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 4c | 2,006$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…897ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,986$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,966$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…19f5backed Yes | 3c | 1,918$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…d9febacked Yes | 3c | 1,827$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…e04bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,785$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 7c | 1,733$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,643$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 1,640$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…7b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,383$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 8c | 1,322$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…9ea8backed Yes | 4c | 1,291$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…b4a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,282$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…0033backed Yes | 12c | 1,223$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 967.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed Yes | 11c | 908.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Yes | 9c | 821.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 804$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…8ef8backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 3c | 725.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…caebbacked Yes | 12c | 714.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…967dbacked Yes | 4c | 702.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…509ebacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…4ec6backed Yes | 17c | 582.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 564.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…803ebacked Yes | 7c | 563.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 3c | 550.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 9c | 517.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…5c13backed Yes | 7c | 505.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…bb30backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 2c | 490.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 456.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…03a0backed Yes | 11c | 445.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…262ebacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…185ebacked Yes | 6c | 433.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…5fc0backed Yes | 6c | 411.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…74a3backed Yes | 8c | 410$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…8069backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 376.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 373.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 4c | 356.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…15d7backed Yes | 12c | 346.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…577ebacked Yes | 7c | 338.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…02dcbacked Yes | 3c | 317.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…a145backed Yes | 7c | 297.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 9c | 288.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dc…1db2backed Yes | 16c | 273.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…e2abbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…3739backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked Yes | 13c | 239.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…893abacked Yes | 11c | 236.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…6d56backed Yes | 19c | 220.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 15c | 220.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed Yes | 23c | 218.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d0…3d13backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc1…13aabacked Yes | 11c | 201.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…fa4dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…8f05backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ce…321cbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +283.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7f90backed Yes | 10c | 187.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…f18abacked Yes | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…a3b1backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.