Middle East · resolved market
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea041b1bc13f6bcf0aff23ac3393526ac2cce425a02a2266cca40834284c774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 79c | 14,996$11,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.24 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 13,598$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.81 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 26c | 7,717$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…64c0backed Yes | 27c | 7,708$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…66c5backed Yes | 11c | 6,532$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 17c | 6,101$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.71 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 21c | 5,990$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.01 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 79c | 5,944$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.34 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…e42abacked Yes | 19c | 5,233$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 60c | 5,152$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 20c | 5,119$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.27 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 72c | 4,911$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 16c | 4,753$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.74 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,660$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 14c | 4,481$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.89 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf543…c0b6backed Yes | 23c | 4,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 73c | 4,160$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.58 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 17c | 4,131$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,048$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…f071backed Yes | 26c | 3,995$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,597$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 28c | 3,585$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 10c | 3,363$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.08 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 12c | 3,101$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 24c | 2,996$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 21c | 2,872$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 14c | 2,859$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 2,815$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.02 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 57c | 2,793$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.66 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 21c | 2,730$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.7 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 24c | 2,617$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.26 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,532$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 75c | 2,470$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.72 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 73c | 2,344$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.11 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,137$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed Yes | 25c | 2,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,995$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…d883backed Yes | 31c | 1,921$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 16c | 1,854$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 77c | 1,812$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…54e0backed Yes | 7c | 1,626$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…071cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,548$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…6963backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 1,386$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b1c8backed Yes | 13c | 1,351$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…40a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,337$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 22c | 1,266$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 28c | 1,210$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed No | 76c | 1,167$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,135$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,115$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 9c | 1,107$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 1,062$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…0c55backed Yes | 1c | 1,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…a419backed Yes | 1c | 1,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b2…a645backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 998.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 14c | 967.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 21c | 964.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 74c | 959$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 65c | 944.51$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.02 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 11c | 907.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 75c | 895.38$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9df…be72backed No | 70c | 849.99$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…6baebacked Yes | 1c | 845.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 800$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…b78fbacked Yes | 18c | 799.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 12c | 793.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…19c4backed Yes | 13c | 779.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…1daabacked Yes | 10c | 777$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +523.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9b…3cdbbacked No | 72c | 762.53$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c3a8backed No | 79c | 761.36$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 36c | 750$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 75c | 745.71$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 24c | 740$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4b…f2ebbacked Yes | 1c | 738.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 78c | 730.49$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 6c | 729.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…453abacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 20c | 703.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…6d42backed Yes | 16c | 698.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 10c | 697.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 30c | 691.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 15c | 690.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…0970backed Yes | 29c | 689.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…acecbacked Yes | 2c | 667$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 642.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 20c | 638.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…ffa8backed Yes | 16c | 635.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 35c | 634$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…ea15backed Yes | 36c | 629.36$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.