Us Politics · resolved market
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4348ad9d9a51bdb12ec96dddc5e080dd5bb477dce7540c8ff63edc44252847f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed85…f876backed Yes | 14c | 37,390$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,042.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +599.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d17…7ff7backed Yes | 14c | 33,325$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,559.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +599.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 37c | 29,433$10,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,565.69 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 79c | 24,000$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,849.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 19c | 19,702$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,903.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 49c | 16,406$8,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,362.49 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 21c | 15,932$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,596.87 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6f35backed Yes | 29c | 10,872$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 62c | 9,246$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.53 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…8a6bbacked Yes | 23c | 7,954$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 17c | 6,842$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.69 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…deb6backed No | 72c | 6,339$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 6,019$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.76 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 62c | 5,955$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.68 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 33c | 5,886$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.53 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 69c | 5,292$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.8 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 5,184$3,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,804.81 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 77c | 4,904$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 30c | 4,680$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…2afabacked Yes | 31c | 4,244$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 23c | 4,038$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.06 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 24c | 3,851$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.85 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 76c | 3,437$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.91 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 19c | 3,430$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.96 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 15c | 3,390$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.88 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes | 13c | 3,348$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 14c | 3,347$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.84 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 3,327$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.3 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 19c | 3,280$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…a478backed Yes | 15c | 3,235$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 78c | 3,166$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 17c | 2,979$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 18c | 2,829$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…5fa3backed Yes | 17c | 2,772$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +227.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,734$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 78c | 2,667$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 57c | 2,477$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.77 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…fc92backed No | 77c | 1,934$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 63c | 1,900$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 32c | 1,887$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 1,845$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.02 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…1016backed Yes | 36c | 1,843$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,681$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.16 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…7bf6backed Yes | 18c | 1,653$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 29c | 1,637$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.06 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…95adbacked Yes | 10c | 1,589$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,584$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 16c | 1,484$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.87 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,484$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 58c | 1,460$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.34 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…7033backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…e0b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,279$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 74c | 1,279$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.46 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 14c | 1,209$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…61fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,179$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…6233backed Yes | 18c | 1,150$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 62c | 1,147$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.33 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 12c | 1,114$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.46 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 12c | 1,110$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,100$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…ff1dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,083$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 1,066$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.66 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…0552backed No | 72c | 1,054$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 78c | 1,031$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…99eebacked Yes | 14c | 1,005$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 17c | 999.16$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.82 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…026bbacked Yes | 26c | 965.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +286.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 957.47$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.27 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…e0b8backed Yes | 31c | 910.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…9d79backed Yes | 11c | 890.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +790.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 16c | 850$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 800.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.21 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 12c | 800$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…01b4backed No | 72c | 784$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…56babacked Yes | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…c91fbacked Yes | 13c | 775.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…dc0dbacked Yes | 15c | 774.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 72c | 750.33$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…19d2backed Yes | 12c | 750$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 16c | 746.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.19 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…388bbacked Yes | 23c | 736.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 19c | 736$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…0033backed Yes | 27c | 728.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 24c | 723.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.64 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 702$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…b9d5backed Yes | 18c | 692.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 19c | 691$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.15 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 15c | 659.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1124…6cc6backed Yes | 31c | 653.72$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…4162backed Yes | 35c | 647.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.