Us Politics · resolved market
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaee87a14c52de16570cea38a7bd193169c22cf983585ea5695990dd72932eb06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $800,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $800,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 6c | 80,495$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470.57 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…b8f8backed No | 1c | 30,455$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed No | 3c | 24,875$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…c8a3backed No | 0c | 24,125$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 20,185$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed No | 2c | 18,378$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 1c | 17,973$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…42a5backed No | 2c | 15,415$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…9902backed No | 2c | 13,981$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8653…c109backed No | 0c | 10,639$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…d4b6backed No | 2c | 10,298$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…0df3backed No | 1c | 9,419$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb535…1b48backed No | 1c | 9,348$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked No | 0c | 8,015$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…4b92backed No | 3c | 7,237$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 1c | 7,138$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 3c | 6,641$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 6,588$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 2c | 6,377$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…5404backed No | 2c | 6,260$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…5502backed No | 0c | 6,239$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd823…1df1backed No | 0c | 6,224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…1eb7backed No | 1c | 6,007$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed No | 3c | 6,000$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b7…4697backed No | 2c | 5,274$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed No | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…0b94backed No | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…3561backed No | 3c | 4,926$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3117…0f8fbacked No | 3c | 4,561$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…6ea3backed No | 3c | 4,360$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…24c0backed No | 2c | 4,297$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…df19backed No | 0c | 4,261$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…533abacked No | 1c | 4,134$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…d278backed No | 3c | 4,103$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 3c | 4,019$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…0c55backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 2c | 3,956$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked No | 2c | 3,889$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked No | 2c | 3,523$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,399$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…90b0backed No | 6c | 3,369$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…f68abacked No | 3c | 3,328$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…2d3abacked No | 3c | 3,322$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…85ccbacked No | 3c | 3,163$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…391fbacked No | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 3c | 3,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…9c66backed No | 3c | 2,940$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…0a81backed No | 1c | 2,727$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…6cb0backed No | 1c | 2,526$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…ca04backed No | 3c | 2,521$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…7b80backed No | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 3c | 2,393$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…0a98backed No | 3c | 2,093$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed No | 1c | 2,053$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…a338backed No | 0c | 2,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 14c | 1,958$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.23 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…11d3backed No | 2c | 1,921$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed No | 3c | 1,873$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…ccdebacked No | 3c | 1,717$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…83e7backed No | 2c | 1,709$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…7168backed No | 3c | 1,705$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9992…c1d2backed No | 1c | 1,631$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…66d7backed No | 3c | 1,585$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…3219backed No | 3c | 1,534$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 2c | 1,496$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…f74cbacked No | 3c | 1,483$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…7df8backed No | 2c | 1,481$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 8c | 1,458$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…d538backed No | 3c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3197…9c4ebacked No | 2c | 1,419$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…9cc3backed No | 4c | 1,394$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0d…089abacked No | 3c | 1,390$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ee70backed No | 1c | 1,275$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked No | 4c | 1,165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…4723backed No | 2c | 1,161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…6d8ebacked No | 3c | 1,160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…6d8cbacked No | 9c | 1,151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 3c | 1,141$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed No | 3c | 1,131$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…0188backed No | 1c | 1,104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…3034backed No | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…23fabacked No | 1c | 1,072$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…312abacked No | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +278.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 3c | 1,068$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…27b3backed No | 1c | 1,056$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…7e21backed No | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…80acbacked No | 2c | 1,024$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…d0dcbacked No | 2c | 1,019$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…2c25backed No | 1c | 1,016$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…de8fbacked No | 1c | 1,007$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked No | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…3932backed No | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…14b2backed No | 5c | 999.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked No | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed No | 2c | 907.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…ade8backed No | 3c | 900.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…c412backed No | 2c | 860.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 3c | 822.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.